World Model · podcast knowledge graph

Lots More With Claudia Sahm on What the Sahm Rule Is Saying Now

2024-08-16 · 25 min · 15 entities

episode page audio

Asserted relationships

  • → appeared on Odd Lots podcast
    0.68
    evidence rules-v4
    Lots More With Claudia Sahm on What the Sahm Rule Is Saying Now
  • → appeared on Odd Lots podcast
    0.63
    evidence rules-v4
    Lots More With Claudia Sahm on What the Sahm Rule Is Saying Now
  • → discusses Business concept
    0.40
    evidence rules-v4
    Feed category: Business
  • → discusses News concept
    0.40
    evidence rules-v4
    Feed category: News
  • → discusses Investing concept
    0.40
    evidence rules-v4
    Feed category: Investing
  • → discusses News Commentary concept
    0.40
    evidence rules-v4
    Feed category: News Commentary
  • → hosted by Bloomberg company
    0.40
    evidence rules-v4
    Feed author/publisher: Bloomberg
  • → discusses Business News concept
    0.40
    evidence rules-v4
    Feed category: Business News

Entities found in this episode

concepts 9

  • mentioned Business concept
    0.50
    evidence rules-v4
    Feed category: Business
  • mentioned Investing concept
    0.50
    evidence rules-v4
    Feed category: Investing
  • mentioned News Commentary concept
    0.50
    evidence rules-v4
    Feed category: News Commentary
  • mentioned Business News concept
    0.50
    evidence rules-v4
    Feed category: Business News
  • discusses Business concept
    0.40
    evidence rules-v4
    Feed category: Business
  • discusses News concept
    0.40
    evidence rules-v4
    Feed category: News
  • discusses Investing concept
    0.40
    evidence rules-v4
    Feed category: Investing
  • discusses News Commentary concept
    0.40
    evidence rules-v4
    Feed category: News Commentary
  • discusses Business News concept
    0.40
    evidence rules-v4
    Feed category: Business News

persons 2

  • mentioned Claudia Sahm on What the person
    0.72
    evidence rules-v4
    Lots More With Claudia Sahm on What the Sahm Rule Is Saying Now
  • mentioned Lots More person
    0.66
    evidence rules-v4
    Lots More With Claudia Sahm on What the Sahm Rule Is Saying Now

companys 2

  • mentioned Bloomberg company
    0.70
    evidence rules-v4
    Feed author/publisher: Bloomberg
  • hosted by Bloomberg company
    0.40
    evidence rules-v4
    Feed author/publisher: Bloomberg

podcasts 2

  • appeared on Odd Lots podcast
    0.68
    evidence rules-v4
    Lots More With Claudia Sahm on What the Sahm Rule Is Saying Now
  • appeared on Odd Lots podcast
    0.63
    evidence rules-v4
    Lots More With Claudia Sahm on What the Sahm Rule Is Saying Now
Episode description as stored
The Federal Reserve appears to be ready to pivot into rate cutting mode. Inflation has come down significantly, and the unemployment rate has been trending upward for most of the year. In fact, in the most recent Non-Farm Payrolls report, the headline unemployment rate of 4.3% triggered the so-called "Sahm Rule," which has been a historically reliable signal that the US is already in a recession. So are we in a recession? Could the rule be wrong this time due the unique features of this economic cycle? How should the Fed weigh the risks that we see in front of us? On this episode of Lots More , we speak with the rule's creator, Clauda Sahm, Bloomberg Opinion contributor and the chief economist at New Century Advisors. She explains why the signal this time could be misleading, but also why — regardless of whether we're in a recession or not — the Fed must be on guard for a weakening labor market. Read More: My Recession Rule Was Meant to Be Broken What’s the Sahm Rule? Is It Warning of a Recession? Only Bloomberg.com subscribers can get the Odd Lots newsletter in their inbox each week, plus unlimited access to the site and app. Subscribe at  bloomberg.com/subscriptions/oddlots See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.